People who love horse racing and handicap horse races may look at thousands of races a year. We read the past performances looking for a good bet to make some money on the horses. Most of our efforts are spent comparing the horses to one another and often, when we think we have located the best horse in the race, our efforts are confined to comparing the rest of the field to that one runner.
Most horse racing handicappers do not spend enough time reading the conditions of the race and then looking over the field and comparing each runner to those conditions. For instance, when you handicap a race, do you look at the weight assigned to each horse and know why each runner was assigned that weight?
It is the job of the racing secretary to write race conditions datos de carreras americanas gulfstream park hoy based on the horses he or she has available. But not only must the racing secretary write conditions to fill a race with runners, he or she must also write the conditions in such a way as to assign weights to each runner that will help to even the chances of each runner.
Obviously, that doesn’t always happen and there will still be a favorite who appears more likely to win, sometimes, those weights and conditions do affect the outcome of the race and the favorite’s chances of winning. You may find two horses who raced at the same level in their last race, perhaps even in the same race. Let us say that two horses each carried 120 pounds in their last race and horse A fared much better than horse B, beating horse B by 1 length. The secretary may assign 2 more pounds to horse A and 2 less pounds to horse B. Of course, it isn’t done arbitrarily, it is done by taking into account the recent time of their races, age, and other factors. The end result, however, is that horse A now carries 4 more pounds than horse B.
That one length margin that horse A won by may seem like a lot, but a length really isn’t that much in horse racing and the secretary has just evened the field considerably. Your job as a handicapper is to see and understand that change in weights and then compare it to the odds to see if horse B or horse A is going off at a price that reflects that difference. That is where you will find value. The changes from race to race are reflected in the win odds, especially in a field of claimers who may face each other often.
Understanding what the racing secretary was trying to do and whether he or she accomplished that task and then comparing your opinion to the crowd’s opinion, via the amounts wagered on each runner is how you will make money betting on horses.